Activate the NZ graph against pinned Chronicle facts (NZ graph G8) #1183

Activity

1. MaxGhenis commented on Oct 12, 2026

   

   MaxGhenis

   on Oct 12, 2026

   ContributorAuthor

   More actions

   Progress, 2026-10-12.

   Merged

   • Enforce source-household weight-quality gates and per-cell support for the NZ graph (G8a) #1202 (G8a): the MC15 weight-quality gates: source-household ESS ≥ 4,000, max/median ≤ 5, and per-cell support with suppression, enforced end to end.
   • Add a curated New Zealand bundle suite (--suite nz) chronicle#340 (G8-c): chronicle build-bundle --suite nz, a 48-package NZ roster with a drift guard. It also fixes the NZ Treasury packages' R2 key prefix. A real build of the suite on that branch produced 12,089 facts from 48 packages, none skipped.

   In review

   • Census 2023 weekly rent paid by households, by regional council (NZ, G8-d1) chronicle#341 (G8-d1): Census 2023 weekly rent paid by households, by regional council. 162 published facts: eight rent bands plus the median, for New Zealand, the 16 regional councils and the Area Outside Region. This is the rent distribution MC8 needs. It reuses the files Correct externally-audited benchmark values in reform-validation specs #335 pinned and joins the NZ suite, which grows to 66 packages.
   • Fill the NZ Accommodation Supplement area crosswalk from public Stats NZ layers (G8-m) #1218 (G8-m): rows for nz/as_area_crosswalk.json, which had none, so no household could be given an Accommodation Supplement area. Each territorial authority's shares across Areas 1–4 come from public Stats NZ layers: Area Unit 2017 polygons, TA 2025, and 2023 Census population by SA1. Round 2 is in progress:
     • TA membership comes from the official SA1-to-TA concordance, which moves about 1,000 people out of TA 999;
     • an interior point replaces the centroid for coastal SA1s;
     • "Whakarewarewa" maps to area unit 540700 "Whaka";
     • "Queenstown urban area" adds no unit: by the 2014 urban-area boundary, every unit inside it is already listed.

   Decided

   • The calibration fit tolerances are ruled: ≤5% per target, ≤2% for demography, 5% for the admin aggregates (decision d1376, 2026-10-12). G8-r writes them into gates.json when it activates those gates.

   Next

   • G8-f: the microcosm feed pins, built from merged Chronicle main once No take-up modeling on state credits: flat per-return credits overshoot actuals by the full take-up gap (CA YCTC +39%) #341 lands, plus the pin enforcement in shared target compilation.
   • G8-p: the income-decile and receipt-group producers, as spec parameters.
   • G8-u: the dependent-child rule. Social Security Act 2018 Sch 2 sets the age limit at 18 and excludes financially independent 16–17-year-olds.
   • G8-r: references. It waits on the period-basis and IRD-ageing choices.

   Still missing: a liquid-asset distribution for MC10. Without it, only the asset-test-off bound can run.
2. MaxGhenis commented on Oct 12, 2026

   

   MaxGhenis

   on Oct 12, 2026

   ContributorAuthor

   More actions

   Progress, 2026-10-12, NZ hub.

   Merged today

   • G8-c: Chronicle --suite nz (chronicle#340).
   • G8-d1: Census 2023 weekly rent, 162 facts (chronicle#341, a5280e18). A real build-bundle --suite nz from merged main gives 66 packages, 0 skipped, 12,251 facts, and a valid consumer artifact.
   • G8a: weight-quality and per-cell support gates (Enforce source-household weight-quality gates and per-cell support for the NZ graph (G8a) #1202).
   • G8-m: Accommodation Supplement area crosswalk from public Stats NZ layers (Fill the NZ Accommodation Supplement area crosswalk from public Stats NZ layers (G8-m) #1218, 7253402). 68 TAs. The description now gives the 2018-vs-2023 weight sensitivity: Queenstown-Lakes moves 8.43 points and Selwyn 7.42; 25 of 68 TAs move more than 0.5 points; the median is 0.17.

   In review (each re-run by the hub at its head; reviews re-dispatching after today's restarts)

   • Refuse a malformed NZ cell-support contract with a named error (#1202 follow-up) #1219: named refusal for malformed cell-support contracts. r1's P2, two missing weight keys, is fixed in d41040b.
   • Settle and apply the NZ dependent-child benefit-unit rule (G8-u) #1226 (G8-u): dependent-child rule from SSA 2018 Sch 2: under 18; 16–17 working at least 30 hours are independent; teen-parent branches; reference-person placement.
   • Add NZ reporting classifiers: income deciles and receipt groups (G8-p) #1234 (G8-p): income-decile (A1) and receipt-group (A2) classifiers carried by unit id. Fail-closed open items: JSS/SPS/SLP before-tax amounts and Veteran's Pension.
   • Pin the NZ Chronicle feed and enforce full artifact identity (G8-f) #1249 (G8-f): NZ Chronicle feed pin. The shared target compiler now enforces all six identity fields, which also hardens the UK pin.

   Next

   • G8-r (references; needs B2/B5).
   • G8-d2 (TA population).
   • A liquid-asset source, still not found.
   • G8-w (wiring), then G8-x (real-data run).

   The rulespec-nz waiver exits (d1055 = b) run on the Axiom side: the first reviewed candidate, WEP s75, is waiting on a waiver-refresh re-pin chain. They don't block the G8 graph work.