juaristi22 · Oct 29, 2026 · Oct 28, 2026 · Oct 29, 2026 · Oct 29, 2026 · Oct 29, 2026
diff --git a/changelog.d/obr-efo-october-2026.added.md b/changelog.d/obr-efo-october-2026.added.md
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+Add the OBR's October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook (chronicle#393) beside the March 2026 vintage: the whole receipts workbook except tables 4.9 and 4.19 (Table 4.5's savings income and the gambling duties included), the March expenditure, economy and aggregates lines with the deposit rate and household financial assets, and the policy workbook's costing of each Budget measure. The March lines keep their line ids and concepts under obr.efo_2026_10, so a consumer changes vintage by package.
diff --git a/changelog.d/spi-self-employment-bands-2023-24.added.md b/changelog.d/spi-self-employment-bands-2023-24.added.md
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+Add HMRC Survey of Personal Incomes 2023-24 Table 3.10 to the SPI income-bands package for PolicyEngine/microcosm#1418: individuals with a self-employment source, taxpayers or not, by range of self-employment income from HMRC's GBP 0 to GBP 1 range (losses, nil and unknown profits) to GBP 100 000 and over, with the counts and amounts of their self-employment, employment, pension, property, interest, dividend and other income and total income. The facts carry a new `hmrc.self_employment_income_band` axis with `self_employment_income_lower_bound` and `self_employment_income_upper_bound`, and the entity role `individual_with_self_employment_source`, so none shares a key with a taxpayer fact. HMRC's suppressed self-employment amount in the GBP 0 to GBP 1 band emits no fact.
diff --git a/chronicle/bundle.py b/chronicle/bundle.py
@@ -207,9 +207,14 @@
     "nrs-mye-2025-council-area",
     "nrs-pcon24-population-by-age-2024-revised-2026",
     "obr-efo-aggregates-march-2026",
+    "obr-efo-aggregates-october-2026",
     "obr-efo-economy-march-2026",
+    "obr-efo-economy-october-2026",
     "obr-efo-expenditure-march-2026",
+    "obr-efo-expenditure-october-2026",
+    "obr-efo-policy-october-2026",
     "obr-efo-receipts-march-2026",
+    "obr-efo-receipts-october-2026",
     "obr-fuel-duty-receipts-by-vehicle-april-2024",
     "obr-hvcts-costing-april-2026",
     "obr-salary-sacrifice-costing-february-2026",

diff --git a/chronicle/source_package.py b/chronicle/source_package.py
@@ -1053,6 +1053,12 @@
     "obr-efo-expenditure-march-2026": Path("obr/efo_expenditure_march_2026"),
     "obr-efo-economy-march-2026": Path("obr/efo_economy_march_2026"),
     "obr-efo-aggregates-march-2026": Path("obr/efo_aggregates_march_2026"),
+    # PolicyEngine/chronicle#393: the October 2026 EFO, beside the March vintage.
+    "obr-efo-receipts-october-2026": Path("obr/efo_receipts_october_2026"),
+    "obr-efo-expenditure-october-2026": Path("obr/efo_expenditure_october_2026"),
+    "obr-efo-economy-october-2026": Path("obr/efo_economy_october_2026"),
+    "obr-efo-aggregates-october-2026": Path("obr/efo_aggregates_october_2026"),
+    "obr-efo-policy-october-2026": Path("obr/efo_policy_october_2026"),
     "obr-fuel-duty-receipts-by-vehicle-april-2024": Path(
         "obr/fuel_duty_receipts_by_vehicle_april_2024"
     ),

diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_aggregates_october_2026/efo_aggregates.xlsx b/db/data/obr/efo_aggregates_october_2026/efo_aggregates.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_aggregates_october_2026/manifest.yaml b/db/data/obr/efo_aggregates_october_2026/manifest.yaml
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+source_id: obr
+package_id: obr-efo-aggregates-october-2026
+dataset: obr_obr-efo-aggregates-october-2026
+source_page: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-october-2026/
+table: 'EFO October 2026 detailed forecast tables: aggregates'
+license: Open Government Licence v3.0
+license_url: https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
+attribution: 'Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook - October 2026, detailed forecast tables: aggregates. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.'
+license_evidence: 'The OBR copyright page (https://obr.uk/legal-pages/copyright/) states: ''You may use and re-use the information featured on this website (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence.'''
+license_verified_at: '2026-10-29'
+files:
+  2026:
+    filename: efo_aggregates.xlsx
+    source_url: https://obr.uk/download/october-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-aggregates/
+    sha256: 3ffa3f1e63667b2ae9fb9626dc1da881673227d43aeeb52f8c3db168a5c75d6b
+    size_bytes: 218000
+    fetched_at: '2026-10-29T01:43:12+00:00'
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-aggregates-october-2026/2026/3ffa3f1e63667b2ae9fb9626dc1da881673227d43aeeb52f8c3db168a5c75d6b/efo_aggregates.xlsx
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-aggregates-october-2026/2026/3ffa3f1e63667b2ae9fb9626dc1da881673227d43aeeb52f8c3db168a5c75d6b/efo_aggregates.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_economy_october_2026/efo_economy.xlsx b/db/data/obr/efo_economy_october_2026/efo_economy.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_economy_october_2026/manifest.yaml b/db/data/obr/efo_economy_october_2026/manifest.yaml
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+source_id: obr
+package_id: obr-efo-economy-october-2026
+dataset: obr_obr-efo-economy-october-2026
+source_page: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-october-2026/
+table: 'EFO October 2026 detailed forecast tables: economy'
+license: Open Government Licence v3.0
+license_url: https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
+attribution: 'Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook - October 2026, detailed forecast tables: economy. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.'
+license_evidence: 'The OBR copyright page (https://obr.uk/legal-pages/copyright/) states: ''You may use and re-use the information featured on this website (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence.'''
+license_verified_at: '2026-10-29'
+files:
+  2026:
+    filename: efo_economy.xlsx
+    source_url: https://obr.uk/download/october-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-economy/
+    sha256: 96795d1747bb5a4978c7fb768689d5fd31f568e5223db8a94b1bd92ba7f6c118
+    size_bytes: 518472
+    fetched_at: '2026-10-29T01:43:07+00:00'
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-economy-october-2026/2026/96795d1747bb5a4978c7fb768689d5fd31f568e5223db8a94b1bd92ba7f6c118/efo_economy.xlsx
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-economy-october-2026/2026/96795d1747bb5a4978c7fb768689d5fd31f568e5223db8a94b1bd92ba7f6c118/efo_economy.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_expenditure_october_2026/efo_expenditure.xlsx b/db/data/obr/efo_expenditure_october_2026/efo_expenditure.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_expenditure_october_2026/manifest.yaml b/db/data/obr/efo_expenditure_october_2026/manifest.yaml
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+source_id: obr
+package_id: obr-efo-expenditure-october-2026
+dataset: obr_obr-efo-expenditure-october-2026
+source_page: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-october-2026/
+table: 'EFO October 2026 detailed forecast tables: expenditure'
+license: Open Government Licence v3.0
+license_url: https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
+attribution: 'Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook - October 2026, detailed forecast tables: expenditure. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.'
+license_evidence: 'The OBR copyright page (https://obr.uk/legal-pages/copyright/) states: ''You may use and re-use the information featured on this website (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence.'''
+license_verified_at: '2026-10-29'
+files:
+  2026:
+    filename: efo_expenditure.xlsx
+    source_url: https://obr.uk/download/october-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/
+    sha256: f379f1b88431405c279332519c4ada10b67c060bcc5370453028d98c1ac81167
+    size_bytes: 280700
+    fetched_at: '2026-10-29T01:43:02+00:00'
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-expenditure-october-2026/2026/f379f1b88431405c279332519c4ada10b67c060bcc5370453028d98c1ac81167/efo_expenditure.xlsx
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-expenditure-october-2026/2026/f379f1b88431405c279332519c4ada10b67c060bcc5370453028d98c1ac81167/efo_expenditure.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_policy_october_2026/efo_policy.xlsx b/db/data/obr/efo_policy_october_2026/efo_policy.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_policy_october_2026/manifest.yaml b/db/data/obr/efo_policy_october_2026/manifest.yaml
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+source_id: obr
+package_id: obr-efo-policy-october-2026
+dataset: obr_obr-efo-policy-october-2026
+source_page: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-october-2026/
+table: 'EFO October 2026 detailed forecast tables: policy'
+license: Open Government Licence v3.0
+license_url: https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
+attribution: 'Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook - October 2026, detailed forecast tables: policy. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.'
+license_evidence: 'The OBR copyright page (https://obr.uk/legal-pages/copyright/) states: ''You may use and re-use the information featured on this website (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence.'''
+license_verified_at: '2026-10-29'
+files:
+  2026:
+    filename: efo_policy.xlsx
+    source_url: https://obr.uk/download/october-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-policy/
+    sha256: cdcc2a06b100241bf3010bd159a4e5d43daef2348a3850797b1e88a308fd45fd
+    size_bytes: 106602
+    fetched_at: '2026-10-29T01:43:17+00:00'
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-policy-october-2026/2026/cdcc2a06b100241bf3010bd159a4e5d43daef2348a3850797b1e88a308fd45fd/efo_policy.xlsx
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-policy-october-2026/2026/cdcc2a06b100241bf3010bd159a4e5d43daef2348a3850797b1e88a308fd45fd/efo_policy.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_receipts_october_2026/efo_receipts.xlsx b/db/data/obr/efo_receipts_october_2026/efo_receipts.xlsx
diff --git a/db/data/obr/efo_receipts_october_2026/manifest.yaml b/db/data/obr/efo_receipts_october_2026/manifest.yaml
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+source_id: obr
+package_id: obr-efo-receipts-october-2026
+dataset: obr_obr-efo-receipts-october-2026
+source_page: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-october-2026/
+table: 'EFO October 2026 detailed forecast tables: receipts'
+license: Open Government Licence v3.0
+license_url: https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
+attribution: 'Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook - October 2026, detailed forecast tables: receipts. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.'
+license_evidence: 'The OBR copyright page (https://obr.uk/legal-pages/copyright/) states: ''You may use and re-use the information featured on this website (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence.'''
+license_verified_at: '2026-10-29'
+files:
+  2026:
+    filename: efo_receipts.xlsx
+    source_url: https://obr.uk/download/october-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-receipts/
+    sha256: d115705716d77b11c190385d41cb1924f30080c9331a8a386c04d4e65a368e95
+    size_bytes: 214092
+    fetched_at: '2026-10-29T01:42:41+00:00'
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-receipts-october-2026/2026/d115705716d77b11c190385d41cb1924f30080c9331a8a386c04d4e65a368e95/efo_receipts.xlsx
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/uk/obr/obr-efo-receipts-october-2026/2026/d115705716d77b11c190385d41cb1924f30080c9331a8a386c04d4e65a368e95/efo_receipts.xlsx
Original file line number	Diff line number	Diff line change
		@@ -0,0 +1 @@
		Add the OBR's October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook (chronicle#393) beside the March 2026 vintage: the whole receipts workbook except tables 4.9 and 4.19 (Table 4.5's savings income and the gambling duties included), the March expenditure, economy and aggregates lines with the deposit rate and household financial assets, and the policy workbook's costing of each Budget measure. The March lines keep their line ids and concepts under obr.efo_2026_10, so a consumer changes vintage by package.
Original file line number	Diff line number	Diff line change
		@@ -0,0 +1 @@
		Add HMRC Survey of Personal Incomes 2023-24 Table 3.10 to the SPI income-bands package for PolicyEngine/microcosm#1418: individuals with a self-employment source, taxpayers or not, by range of self-employment income from HMRC's GBP 0 to GBP 1 range (losses, nil and unknown profits) to GBP 100 000 and over, with the counts and amounts of their self-employment, employment, pension, property, interest, dividend and other income and total income. The facts carry a new `hmrc.self_employment_income_band` axis with `self_employment_income_lower_bound` and `self_employment_income_upper_bound`, and the entity role `individual_with_self_employment_source`, so none shares a key with a taxpayer fact. HMRC's suppressed self-employment amount in the GBP 0 to GBP 1 band emits no fact.