diff --git a/src/sentry/models/groupresolution.py b/src/sentry/models/groupresolution.py
index d76c88de109b..fb05d155d571 100644
--- a/src/sentry/models/groupresolution.py
+++ b/src/sentry/models/groupresolution.py
@@ -19,6 +19,18 @@
 from sentry.utils import metrics
 
 
+def release_order_date(date_added, date_released=None):
+    """The date a release is ordered by.
+
+    Mirrors `COALESCE(date_released, date_added)`, the ordering the releases
+    endpoints and `most_recent_release` already use. `date_added` alone is when
+    Sentry first saw the release, which is not when it shipped: a release row
+    created by an incoming event from an old build carries a recent
+    `date_added` and so outranks the release that actually fixed the issue.
+    """
+    return date_released or date_added
+
+
 @cell_silo_model
 class GroupResolution(Model):
     """
@@ -81,14 +93,17 @@ def compare_release_dates_for_in_next_release(res_release, res_release_datetime,
             Helper function that compares release versions based on date for
             `GroupResolution.Type.in_next_release`
             """
-            return res_release == release.id or res_release_datetime > release.date_added
+            return res_release == release.id or res_release_datetime > release_order_date(
+                release.date_added, release.date_released
+            )
 
         try:
             (
                 res_type,
                 res_release,
                 res_release_version,
-                res_release_datetime,
+                res_release_date_added,
+                res_release_date_released,
                 current_release_version,
             ) = (
                 cls.objects.filter(group=group)
@@ -98,12 +113,15 @@ def compare_release_dates_for_in_next_release(res_release, res_release_datetime,
                     "release__id",
                     "release__version",
                     "release__date_added",
+                    "release__date_released",
                     "current_release_version",
                 )[0]
             )
         except IndexError:
             return False
 
+        res_release_datetime = release_order_date(res_release_date_added, res_release_date_released)
+
         # if no release is present, we assume we've gone from "no release" to "some release"
         # in application configuration, and thus this must be older
         if not release:
@@ -155,7 +173,10 @@ def compare_release_dates_for_in_next_release(res_release, res_release_datetime,
 
                     return compare_release_dates_for_in_next_release(
                         res_release=current_release_obj.id,
-                        res_release_datetime=current_release_obj.date_added,
+                        res_release_datetime=release_order_date(
+                            current_release_obj.date_added,
+                            current_release_obj.date_released,
+                        ),
                         release=release,
                     )
                 except Release.DoesNotExist:
@@ -194,6 +215,8 @@ def compare_release_dates_for_in_next_release(res_release, res_release_datetime,
                     ...
 
             # Fallback to older model if semver comparison fails due to whatever reason
-            return res_release_datetime >= release.date_added
+            return res_release_datetime >= release_order_date(
+                release.date_added, release.date_released
+            )
         else:
             raise NotImplementedError
diff --git a/tests/sentry/models/test_groupresolution.py b/tests/sentry/models/test_groupresolution.py
index 4875f0b616bc..75a8b0579744 100644
--- a/tests/sentry/models/test_groupresolution.py
+++ b/tests/sentry/models/test_groupresolution.py
@@ -16,6 +16,13 @@ def setUp(self) -> None:
         self.group = self.create_group()
         self.old_semver_release = self.create_release(version="foo_package@1.0")
         self.new_semver_release = self.create_release(version="foo_package@2.0")
+        # Added after new_release, but finalized with an earlier ship date --
+        # the shape a straggler event from an old build produces.
+        self.late_registered_old_release = self.create_release(
+            version="c",
+            date_added=timezone.now(),
+            date_released=timezone.now() - timedelta(minutes=60),
+        )
 
     def test_in_next_release_with_new_release(self) -> None:
         GroupResolution.objects.create(
@@ -172,6 +179,30 @@ def test_in_release_with_old_release(self) -> None:
         )
         assert GroupResolution.has_resolution(self.group, self.old_release)
 
+    def test_in_release_with_late_registered_old_release(self) -> None:
+        """A release finalized as older must not clear a newer resolution."""
+        GroupResolution.objects.create(
+            release=self.new_release, group=self.group, type=GroupResolution.Type.in_release
+        )
+        assert GroupResolution.has_resolution(self.group, self.late_registered_old_release)
+
+    def test_in_next_release_with_late_registered_old_release(self) -> None:
+        GroupResolution.objects.create(
+            release=self.new_release,
+            group=self.group,
+            type=GroupResolution.Type.in_next_release,
+        )
+        assert GroupResolution.has_resolution(self.group, self.late_registered_old_release)
+
+    def test_in_release_resolved_in_a_late_registered_release(self) -> None:
+        """The resolution's own release is ordered by its ship date too."""
+        GroupResolution.objects.create(
+            release=self.late_registered_old_release,
+            group=self.group,
+            type=GroupResolution.Type.in_release,
+        )
+        assert not GroupResolution.has_resolution(self.group, self.new_release)
+
     def test_for_semver_in_release_with_new_release(self) -> None:
         GroupResolution.objects.create(
             release=self.old_semver_release, group=self.group, type=GroupResolution.Type.in_release