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Does provider diversity across routed models buy error-independence? #98

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@itsjustmarsel

The docs treat larger / appeal committees as increasing accuracy — which holds when validator errors are independent. In a measurement on a public benchmark (RAGTruth), a 6-model committee across 4 labs and 3 countries acts like ~1.9 independent judges of 6; the errors correlate at ρ ≈ 0.4–0.6, so added validators help less than independence predicts.

Is validator-error independence measured, or assumed, when committee size / appeal doubling is chosen?

Full method, data, and a one-command recompute: https://github.com/itsjustmarsel/llm-judge-independence

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