diff --git a/changelog.d/611.changed.md b/changelog.d/611.changed.md
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..30e77333
--- /dev/null
+++ b/changelog.d/611.changed.md
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+The UK Budget reform contract report gives each assertion a unique id, and the population checks declare the rows a full run emits.
diff --git a/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_contract.py b/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_contract.py
index 4ca13fac..63b55f06 100644
--- a/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_contract.py
+++ b/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_contract.py
@@ -1539,8 +1539,11 @@ def evaluate_case(
             )
         ]
     rows = []
-    for check in case.checks:
+    for assertion_index, check in enumerate(case.checks):
         label = f"{check.target}:{check.name}:{check.year}"
+        # Several assertions can read the same value under different oracles.
+        # The index identifies each declared assertion even when labels collide.
+        assertion_id = f"{label}:{assertion_index}"
         if check.target == "parameter" and route not in COUNTRY_ROUTES:
             rows.append(
                 _row(
@@ -1548,6 +1551,7 @@ def evaluate_case(
                     route,
                     digest,
                     check=label,
+                    assertion_id=assertion_id,
                     status=UNSUPPORTED,
                     reason="this route exposes outputs, not parameter values",
                 )
@@ -1560,6 +1564,7 @@ def evaluate_case(
                     route,
                     digest,
                     check=label,
+                    assertion_id=assertion_id,
                     status=UNSUPPORTED,
                     reason="the policy route's output dataset holds the reformed run only",
                 )
@@ -1592,6 +1597,7 @@ def evaluate_case(
                     route,
                     digest,
                     check=label,
+                    assertion_id=assertion_id,
                     status=PENDING if check.pending is not None else ERROR,
                     decision_id=check.pending,
                     detail=repr(error)[:500],
@@ -1608,6 +1614,7 @@ def evaluate_case(
                 route,
                 digest,
                 check=label,
+                assertion_id=assertion_id,
                 status=status,
                 expected=float(expected),
                 actual=actual,
diff --git a/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_population.py b/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_population.py
index 9ed54b55..9f0c7509 100644
--- a/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_population.py
+++ b/src/policyengine/tax_benefit_models/uk/budget_reform_population.py
@@ -63,6 +63,63 @@
 )
 RESPONSE_YEAR = 2027
 
+POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION = "population_baseline_isolation"
+POPULATION_QUERY_ORDER = "population_query_order"
+POPULATION_ROUTES_AGREE = "population_routes_agree"
+POPULATION_APRIL_RATE_CHANGE = "population_april_rate_change"
+POPULATION_FINITE_CHANGE_EXPIRES = "population_finite_change_expires"
+POPULATION_UC_STANDARD_ALLOWANCE_PLUS_10 = "population_uc_standard_allowance_plus_10"
+POPULATION_STATE_PENSION_PLUS_10 = "population_state_pension_plus_10"
+
+COUNTRY_POPULATION_CHECKS = (
+    POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION,
+    POPULATION_APRIL_RATE_CHANGE,
+    POPULATION_FINITE_CHANGE_EXPIRES,
+    POPULATION_UC_STANDARD_ALLOWANCE_PLUS_10,
+    POPULATION_STATE_PENSION_PLUS_10,
+)
+UNREFORMED_POPULATION_CHECKS = (
+    POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION,
+    POPULATION_QUERY_ORDER,
+)
+
+POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC = ("population", "-")
+"""Permitted diagnostic identity after an early or partial population error.
+
+This is separate from required successful coverage. A report containing this
+row with status ``error`` does not hold, even if preceding rows passed. The
+same identity labels the existing ``unsupported`` row when no country route
+is selected.
+"""
+
+
+def population_check_routes(routes: Sequence[str]) -> tuple[tuple[str, str], ...]:
+    """Required coverage for a completed run, including comparisons and baselines.
+
+    For country routes this declares successful coverage, independently of the
+    permitted :data:`POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC`. A report containing that row
+    with status ``error`` does not hold. With no country route, the existing
+    ``unsupported`` diagnostic is declared instead.
+    """
+    country = [route for route in routes if route.startswith("country.")]
+    if not country:
+        return (POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC,)
+    baseline_country = tuple(dict.fromkeys(country))
+    return (
+        tuple(
+            (check, route)
+            for check in COUNTRY_POPULATION_CHECKS
+            for route in (
+                baseline_country if check == POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION else country
+            )
+        )
+        + tuple((check, "unreformed") for check in UNREFORMED_POPULATION_CHECKS)
+        + tuple(
+            (POPULATION_ROUTES_AGREE, f"{country[0]} = {route}")
+            for route in country[1:]
+        )
+    )
+
 
 def plus_ten_percent(paths: Sequence[str]) -> dict:
     """Each parameter 10% above current law for the response year."""
@@ -156,7 +213,12 @@ def _row(check_id: str, route: str, status: str, **fields: Any) -> dict:
 def run_population_checks(
     dataset_path: str, routes: Sequence[str], seed: int = 0
 ) -> list[dict]:
-    """Run the population checks; one report row per check."""
+    """Run population checks, preserving progress before an error diagnostic.
+
+    Completed coverage is declared by :func:`population_check_routes`. An early
+    or partial failure appends :data:`POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC` with status
+    ``error``; a report containing that error row does not hold.
+    """
     from policyengine_core.reforms import Reform
     from policyengine_uk import Microsimulation
     from policyengine_uk.utils.scenario import Scenario
@@ -165,8 +227,7 @@ def run_population_checks(
     if not country:
         return [
             _row(
-                "population",
-                "-",
+                *POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC,
                 "unsupported",
                 reason="population checks need a country route",
             )
@@ -195,7 +256,7 @@ def build(route: str | None, reform: dict | None):
             different = _same(before, _arrays(simulation.baseline))
             rows.append(
                 _row(
-                    "population_baseline_isolation",
+                    POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION,
                     route,
                     "fail" if different else "pass",
                     detail=different or None,
@@ -205,7 +266,7 @@ def build(route: str | None, reform: dict | None):
         different = _same(before, after)
         rows.append(
             _row(
-                "population_baseline_isolation",
+                POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION,
                 "unreformed",
                 "fail" if different else "pass",
                 detail=different or None,
@@ -214,7 +275,7 @@ def build(route: str | None, reform: dict | None):
         different = _same(before, _arrays(build(None, None), order=-1))
         rows.append(
             _row(
-                "population_query_order",
+                POPULATION_QUERY_ORDER,
                 "unreformed",
                 "fail" if different else "pass",
                 detail=different or None,
@@ -235,7 +296,7 @@ def build(route: str | None, reform: dict | None):
             )
             rows.append(
                 _row(
-                    "population_routes_agree",
+                    POPULATION_ROUTES_AGREE,
                     f"{first} = {route}",
                     "pass" if same else "fail",
                 )
@@ -251,7 +312,7 @@ def build(route: str | None, reform: dict | None):
             ok = unchanged_2026 and total_rises
             rows.append(
                 _row(
-                    "population_april_rate_change",
+                    POPULATION_APRIL_RATE_CHANGE,
                     route,
                     "pass" if ok else "fail",
                     detail={
@@ -270,7 +331,7 @@ def build(route: str | None, reform: dict | None):
             )
             rows.append(
                 _row(
-                    "population_finite_change_expires",
+                    POPULATION_FINITE_CHANGE_EXPIRES,
                     route,
                     "pass" if same else "fail",
                 )
@@ -303,7 +364,7 @@ def values(simulation, variable):
             higher = int(np.sum(award > base["universal_credit"] + 1e-3))
             rows.append(
                 _row(
-                    "population_uc_standard_allowance_plus_10",
+                    POPULATION_UC_STANDARD_ALLOWANCE_PLUS_10,
                     route,
                     "pass" if scaled and lower == 0 and higher > 0 else "fail",
                     detail={
@@ -326,7 +387,7 @@ def values(simulation, variable):
             higher = int(np.sum(pension > base["state_pension"] + 1e-3))
             rows.append(
                 _row(
-                    "population_state_pension_plus_10",
+                    POPULATION_STATE_PENSION_PLUS_10,
                     route,
                     "pass" if scaled and lower == 0 and higher > 0 else "fail",
                     detail={
@@ -339,8 +400,7 @@ def values(simulation, variable):
     except Exception as error:  # noqa: BLE001 - reported, never swallowed
         rows.append(
             _row(
-                "population",
-                "-",
+                *POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC,
                 "error",
                 detail="".join(
                     traceback.format_exception_only(type(error), error)
diff --git a/tests/fixtures/uk_contract/evaluate_case_rows.json b/tests/fixtures/uk_contract/evaluate_case_rows.json
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..8d1a86f9
--- /dev/null
+++ b/tests/fixtures/uk_contract/evaluate_case_rows.json
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+[{"actual": 645.913637, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.2, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 590.141163, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.21, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 837.048597, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.21, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 0.4343870000000152, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 351.81676099999993, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": -59.58982299999991, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 645.913637, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.2, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 590.141163, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.21, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 837.048597, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.21, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 0.4343870000000152, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 351.81676099999993, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": -59.58982299999991, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 645.913637, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.2, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 590.141163, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.21, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 837.048597, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.21, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 0.4343870000000152, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 351.81676099999993, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": -59.58982299999991, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 0.4343870000000152, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 351.81676099999993, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": -59.58982299999991, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "parameter:gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 0.4343870000000152, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2026", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 351.81676099999993, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": -59.58982299999991, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "change:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 299.9979999999994, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "baseline_isolation:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 5.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pass", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": 5.0, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": "unreformed_after_reform:income_tax:2028", "decision_id": null, "expected": 6.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "hashed"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "april_rate_change", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": 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"route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "structural_switch", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "baseline_vat_is_current_law", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "baseline_vat_is_current_law", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "baseline_vat_is_current_law", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "baseline_vat_is_current_law", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "baseline_vat_is_current_law", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "baseline_vat_is_current_law", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "modifier_then_parameter_changes", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "modifier_then_parameter_changes", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "modifier_then_parameter_changes", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "modifier_then_parameter_changes", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "modifier_then_parameter_changes", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "modifier_then_parameter_changes", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "parameter_changes_then_modifier", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "parameter_changes_then_modifier", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "parameter_changes_then_modifier", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "parameter_changes_then_modifier", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "parameter_changes_then_modifier", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "parameter_changes_then_modifier", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": "RuntimeError: route failed", "case_id": "unknown_path", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": "RuntimeError: route failed", "case_id": "unknown_path", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": "RuntimeError: route failed", "case_id": "unknown_path", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": "RuntimeError: route failed", "case_id": "unknown_path", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": "RuntimeError: route failed", "case_id": "unknown_path", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "unknown_path", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_reform_from_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_reform_from_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_reform_from_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_reform_from_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_reform_from_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_bare_year_reform_from_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_single_day_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_single_day_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_single_day_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_single_day_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_single_day_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_single_day_dict", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_effective_dates_reverse_order", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_effective_dates_reverse_order", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_effective_dates_reverse_order", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_effective_dates_reverse_order", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_effective_dates_reverse_order", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "reading_effective_dates_reverse_order", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "error"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 0.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "baseline_equals:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 0.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "baseline_equals:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 0.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "baseline_equals:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 0.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "baseline_equals:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 1000.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 0.0, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "change:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 0.0, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": "baseline_equals:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "matching_variable", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "matching_variable"}, {"actual": 174.303, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:inside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.306, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:outside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.303, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:inside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.306, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:outside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "fail", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.303, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:inside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.306, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:outside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "fail", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.303, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:inside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.306, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:outside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "fail", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.303, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:inside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pass", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": 174.306, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": "variable:outside:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": 174.3, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "fail", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "tolerance_boundary", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "tolerance_boundary"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "missing_value", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "missing_value"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "missing_value", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "error", "variant": "missing_value"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "missing_value", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "error", "variant": "missing_value"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "missing_value", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "error", "variant": "missing_value"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "missing_value", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "error", "variant": "missing_value"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "missing_value", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "missing_value"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_pending", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": "d1344", "expected": 1000.0, "holds": true, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pending", "variant": "matching_pending"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_pending", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": "d1344", "expected": 1000.0, "holds": true, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pending", "variant": "matching_pending"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_pending", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": "d1344", "expected": 1000.0, "holds": true, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pending", "variant": "matching_pending"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_pending", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": "d1344", "expected": 1000.0, "holds": true, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pending", "variant": "matching_pending"}, {"actual": 1000.0, "case_id": "matching_pending", "check": "variable:income_tax:2027", "decision_id": "d1344", "expected": 1000.0, "holds": true, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pending", "variant": "matching_pending"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "matching_pending", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "matching_pending"}, {"actual": "ValueError: no new_credit here", "case_id": "matching_rejection", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_rejection"}, {"actual": "ValueError: no new_credit here", "case_id": "matching_rejection", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "country.scenario_parameter_changes", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_rejection"}, {"actual": "ValueError: no new_credit here", "case_id": "matching_rejection", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "country.reform_from_dict", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_rejection"}, {"actual": "ValueError: no new_credit here", "case_id": "matching_rejection", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.household", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_rejection"}, {"actual": "ValueError: no new_credit here", "case_id": "matching_rejection", "check": "rejected", "decision_id": null, "expected": "an error matching 'new_credit'", "holds": null, "route": "wrapper.policy", "status": "pass", "variant": "matching_rejection"}, {"actual": null, "case_id": "matching_rejection", "check": null, "decision_id": null, "expected": null, "holds": null, "route": "api.sim_api", "status": "unsupported", "variant": "matching_rejection"}]
diff --git a/tests/test_uk_budget_reform_contract.py b/tests/test_uk_budget_reform_contract.py
index d07e91c9..f39728e0 100644
--- a/tests/test_uk_budget_reform_contract.py
+++ b/tests/test_uk_budget_reform_contract.py
@@ -177,6 +177,53 @@ def test_passing_failing_pending_and_isolation_rows(monkeypatch):
     assert rows["baseline_isolation:income_tax:2027"]["status"] == "pass"
 
 
+@pytest.mark.parametrize("route", ["country.reform_dict", "wrapper.household"])
+def test_assertions_with_the_same_value_request_have_distinct_identities(
+    monkeypatch, route
+):
+    from dataclasses import replace
+
+    duplicate = replace(
+        CASE,
+        checks=(
+            Check("parameter", RATE, 2027, 0.21, "mandatory oracle"),
+            Check("parameter", RATE, 2027, 0.20, "pending oracle", pending="d1344"),
+        ),
+    )
+    fake(
+        monkeypatch,
+        FakeRoute(reformed={("parameter", RATE, 2027): 0.21}, unreformed={}),
+    )
+    rows = evaluate_case(duplicate, route)
+    assert [row["status"] for row in rows] == (
+        ["pass", "pending"]
+        if route == "country.reform_dict"
+        else ["unsupported", "unsupported"]
+    )
+    assert len({row["check"] for row in rows}) == 1
+    assert all(
+        isinstance(row["assertion_id"], str) and row["assertion_id"] for row in rows
+    )
+    assert len({row["assertion_id"] for row in rows}) == 2
+
+
+def test_assertion_ids_change_no_verdict():
+    """Labelling rows changes no status, expected value or actual value.
+
+    The fixture holds the rows the runner produced on main 503d4998, before
+    rows carried an ``assertion_id``, for every case and route under fixed
+    fake routes plus focused verdict scenarios (see
+    ``tests/uk_contract_row_scenarios.py``).
+    """
+
+    from pathlib import Path
+
+    from tests.uk_contract_row_scenarios import scenario_rows
+
+    fixture = Path(__file__).parent / "fixtures/uk_contract/evaluate_case_rows.json"
+    assert scenario_rows(contract, CASES) == json.loads(fixture.read_text())
+
+
 def test_a_wrong_value_fails_and_a_leaking_baseline_fails(monkeypatch):
     fake(
         monkeypatch,
@@ -436,6 +483,175 @@ def test_modifier_cases_differ_only_in_order_and_skip_the_household_route():
 # Population checks.
 
 
+@pytest.fixture
+def stub_population_checks(monkeypatch):
+    """Run every population branch with deterministic, responsive fake arrays."""
+    from types import SimpleNamespace
+
+    import policyengine_uk
+    from policyengine_core.reforms import Reform
+    from policyengine_uk.utils import scenario
+
+    from policyengine.tax_benefit_models.uk import (
+        budget_reform_population as population,
+    )
+
+    class Simulation:
+        def __init__(self, dataset, reform=None, scenario=None):
+            self.reform = reform if scenario is None else scenario.parameter_changes
+
+        @property
+        def baseline(self):
+            return Simulation(dataset=None)
+
+        def calculate(self, variable, year):
+            if (
+                variable == "income_tax"
+                and year == 2027
+                and self.reform in (population.APRIL, population.FINITE)
+            ):
+                return [2.0]
+            if self.reform == {"response": population.UC_STANDARD_ALLOWANCES}:
+                if variable in ("uc_standard_allowance", "universal_credit"):
+                    return [1.1]
+            if self.reform == {"response": population.STATE_PENSION_RATES}:
+                if variable in (
+                    "basic_state_pension",
+                    "new_state_pension",
+                    "state_pension",
+                ):
+                    return [1.1]
+            return [1.0]
+
+    monkeypatch.setattr(policyengine_uk, "Microsimulation", Simulation)
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        scenario, "Scenario", lambda **kwargs: SimpleNamespace(**kwargs)
+    )
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        Reform, "from_dict", staticmethod(lambda reform, **kwargs: reform)
+    )
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        population, "subsample", lambda *args: SimpleNamespace(copy=lambda: None)
+    )
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        population, "plus_ten_percent", lambda paths: {"response": paths}
+    )
+    return population
+
+
+@pytest.mark.parametrize("failure", ["early", "partial"])
+def test_population_errors_emit_only_the_declared_diagnostic_after_progress(
+    monkeypatch, stub_population_checks, failure
+):
+    population = stub_population_checks
+    route = "country.reform_dict"
+
+    def fail(*args):
+        raise OSError("forced population failure")
+
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        population, "subsample" if failure == "early" else "plus_ten_percent", fail
+    )
+    rows = population.run_population_checks("unused.h5", [route], seed=7)
+    diagnostic = {
+        "check_id": population.POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC[0],
+        "route": population.POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC[1],
+        "status": "error",
+        "detail": "OSError: forced population failure",
+        "subsample_households": population.SUBSAMPLE_HOUSEHOLDS,
+        "seed": 7,
+    }
+    assert population.POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC == ("population", "-")
+    assert population.POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC not in (
+        population.population_check_routes([route])
+    )
+    expected_progress = (
+        []
+        if failure == "early"
+        else [
+            (population.POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION, route),
+            (population.POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION, "unreformed"),
+            (population.POPULATION_QUERY_ORDER, "unreformed"),
+            (population.POPULATION_APRIL_RATE_CHANGE, route),
+            (population.POPULATION_FINITE_CHANGE_EXPIRES, route),
+        ]
+    )
+    assert rows[-1] == diagnostic
+    assert [(row["check_id"], row["route"]) for row in rows[:-1]] == expected_progress
+    assert all(row["status"] == "pass" for row in rows[:-1])
+    assert [row for row in rows if row["status"] == "error"] == [diagnostic]
+
+
+def test_a_report_with_the_population_error_diagnostic_does_not_hold(
+    monkeypatch, stub_population_checks
+):
+    population = stub_population_checks
+    diagnostic = {
+        "check_id": population.POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC[0],
+        "route": population.POPULATION_ERROR_DIAGNOSTIC[1],
+        "status": "error",
+        "detail": "forced population failure",
+    }
+    monkeypatch.setattr(population, "run_population_checks", lambda *args: [diagnostic])
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "evaluate_case", lambda *args: [{"status": "pass"}])
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "release_dead_variable_modules", lambda: None)
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "PROPERTIES", ())
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "reference_parameters", lambda: None)
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "parameter_reader", lambda parameters: None)
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "shared_state", lambda: {})
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        contract, "module_parameters_unchanged", lambda before: {"status": "pass"}
+    )
+    monkeypatch.setattr(contract, "_sha256", lambda path: "unused")
+    report = run_budget_reform_contract(
+        routes=["country.reform_dict"],
+        cases=["april_rate_change"],
+        dataset_path="unused.h5",
+        max_examples=0,
+    )
+    assert report["population"] == [diagnostic]
+    assert report["summary"]["error"] == 1
+    assert report["holds"] is False
+
+
+@pytest.mark.parametrize(
+    "routes",
+    [
+        ["country.reform_dict", "country.reform_dict"],
+        ["country.reform_dict", "country.scenario_parameter_changes"],
+        [
+            "country.reform_dict",
+            "country.scenario_parameter_changes",
+            "country.reform_dict",
+            "country.reform_from_dict",
+        ],
+    ],
+)
+def test_population_coverage_deduplicates_only_country_baseline_rows(
+    stub_population_checks, routes
+):
+    from collections import Counter
+
+    population = stub_population_checks
+    rows = population.run_population_checks("unused.h5", routes)
+    declared = Counter(population.population_check_routes(routes))
+    assert rows and all(row["status"] == "pass" for row in rows), rows
+    assert Counter((row["check_id"], row["route"]) for row in rows) == declared
+    route_counts = Counter(routes)
+    for route, count in route_counts.items():
+        assert declared[(population.POPULATION_BASELINE_ISOLATION, route)] == 1
+        for check in population.COUNTRY_POPULATION_CHECKS[1:]:
+            assert declared[(check, route)] == count
+    assert (
+        sum(
+            count
+            for (check, route), count in declared.items()
+            if check == population.POPULATION_ROUTES_AGREE
+        )
+        == len(routes) - 1
+    )
+
+
 def _tiny_dataset_file(tmp_path, households=5, recipients=False):
     """Earners on £10,000 to £50,000, one household each.
 
@@ -502,6 +718,7 @@ def test_the_subsample_is_deterministic_and_keeps_whole_households(tmp_path):
 def test_population_checks_hold_on_a_tiny_dataset(tmp_path):
     pytest.importorskip("policyengine_uk.utils.dated_reforms")
     from policyengine.tax_benefit_models.uk.budget_reform_population import (
+        population_check_routes,
         run_population_checks,
     )
 
@@ -511,6 +728,11 @@ def test_population_checks_hold_on_a_tiny_dataset(tmp_path):
         seed=0,
     )
     assert rows and all(row["status"] == "pass" for row in rows), rows
+    from collections import Counter
+
+    assert Counter((row["check_id"], row["route"]) for row in rows) == Counter(
+        population_check_routes(list(contract.COUNTRY_ROUTES))
+    )
 
 
 def test_responsiveness_checks_fail_with_no_award_to_move(tmp_path):
diff --git a/tests/uk_contract_row_scenarios.py b/tests/uk_contract_row_scenarios.py
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..5da8d911
--- /dev/null
+++ b/tests/uk_contract_row_scenarios.py
@@ -0,0 +1,208 @@
+"""Report rows from ``evaluate_case`` over fixed fake routes.
+
+``test_uk_budget_reform_contract.py`` compares these rows, without their
+``assertion_id``, with rows recorded from main's runner at ``503d4998``
+(``fixtures/uk_contract/evaluate_case_rows.json``), so labelling the rows cannot
+change any verdict, expected value or actual value. The real cases exercise
+fixed fake routes; focused cases cover matching comparisons, tolerances,
+missing values, matching pending checks and expected rejections. To record
+the fixture again, put a source tree holding main's runner first on
+``PYTHONPATH`` and run:
+
+    python tests/uk_contract_row_scenarios.py tests/fixtures/uk_contract/evaluate_case_rows.json
+"""
+
+import hashlib
+import json
+import sys
+
+
+class _Values(dict):
+    """A route's values: any requested key gets a fixed, key-specific value."""
+
+    def __init__(self, value):
+        super().__init__()
+        self._value = value
+
+    def __missing__(self, key):
+        return self._value(key)
+
+
+def _hashed(key, salt: str) -> float:
+    digest = hashlib.sha256(repr((salt, *key)).encode()).digest()
+    return round(int.from_bytes(digest[:4], "big") / 2**32 * 1000, 6)
+
+
+def _flat(key) -> float:
+    return 0.20 if key[0] == "parameter" else 1000.0
+
+
+#: The row fields that make up a verdict: which check, its status, and the
+#: values compared.
+VERDICT_FIELDS = (
+    "case_id",
+    "route",
+    "check",
+    "status",
+    "expected",
+    "actual",
+    "decision_id",
+    "holds",
+)
+
+#: name: (reformed values, unreformed values, isolation and after rows, error)
+VARIANTS = {
+    "hashed": (
+        lambda key: _hashed(key, "reformed"),
+        lambda key: _hashed(key, "unreformed"),
+        [("income_tax", 2027, 5.0, 5.0), ("income_tax", 2028, 5.0, 6.0)],
+        None,
+    ),
+    "unchanged": (_flat, _flat, [], None),
+    "error": (None, None, [], RuntimeError("route failed")),
+}
+
+
+def scenario_rows(contract, cases) -> list[dict]:
+    """Rows for every case, route and variant, without assertion ids."""
+
+    saved = contract._route, contract._baseline_parameter_reader
+    rows = []
+    try:
+        contract._baseline_parameter_reader = lambda: lambda path, year: 0.20
+        for variant, (reformed, unreformed, extra, error) in VARIANTS.items():
+            for case in cases:
+                rows.extend(
+                    _case_rows(
+                        contract,
+                        variant,
+                        case,
+                        _Values(reformed),
+                        _Values(unreformed),
+                        extra,
+                        error,
+                    )
+                )
+        for variant, case, reformed, unreformed, error in _focused_scenarios(contract):
+            rows.extend(
+                _case_rows(contract, variant, case, reformed, unreformed, (), error)
+            )
+    finally:
+        contract._route, contract._baseline_parameter_reader = saved
+    return json.loads(json.dumps(rows, default=str))
+
+
+def _case_rows(contract, variant, case, reformed, unreformed, extra, error):
+    class Route:
+        def run(self, case, representation, cache):
+            if error is not None:
+                raise error
+            run = contract.RouteRun()
+            run.reformed = reformed
+            run.unreformed = unreformed
+            run.isolation.extend(extra)
+            run.after.extend(extra)
+            return run
+
+    contract._route = lambda name: Route()
+    for route in contract.ROUTES:
+        for row in contract.evaluate_case(case, route):
+            yield {"variant": variant} | {key: row.get(key) for key in VERDICT_FIELDS}
+
+
+def _focused_scenarios(contract):
+    """Fixed inputs that reach verdict branches missed by the real cases."""
+
+    def case(name, checks=(), expect_error=None):
+        return contract.Case(
+            id=name,
+            title=name,
+            changes=(
+                contract.Change(
+                    contract.BASIC_RATE, contract._date("2027-04-06"), 0.21
+                ),
+            ),
+            household=contract.adult(),
+            checks=checks,
+            expect_error=expect_error,
+        )
+
+    key = ("variable", "income_tax", 2027)
+    yield (
+        "matching_variable",
+        case(
+            "matching_variable",
+            (
+                contract.Check("variable", "income_tax", 2027, 1000.0, "fixed value"),
+                contract.Check("change", "income_tax", 2027, 0.0, "unchanged value"),
+                contract.Check(
+                    "baseline_equals", "income_tax", 2027, "income_tax", "equal values"
+                ),
+            ),
+        ),
+        {key: 1000.0},
+        {key: 1000.0},
+        None,
+    )
+    yield (
+        "tolerance_boundary",
+        case(
+            "tolerance_boundary",
+            (
+                contract.Check("variable", "inside", 2027, 174.30, "inside", 0.005),
+                contract.Check("variable", "outside", 2027, 174.30, "outside", 0.005),
+            ),
+        ),
+        {
+            ("variable", "inside", 2027): 174.303,
+            ("variable", "outside", 2027): 174.306,
+        },
+        {},
+        None,
+    )
+    yield (
+        "missing_value",
+        case(
+            "missing_value",
+            (contract.Check("variable", "income_tax", 2027, 1000.0, "missing value"),),
+        ),
+        {},
+        {},
+        None,
+    )
+    yield (
+        "matching_pending",
+        case(
+            "matching_pending",
+            (
+                contract.Check(
+                    "variable",
+                    "income_tax",
+                    2027,
+                    1000.0,
+                    "fixed value",
+                    pending=contract.PRIOR_LAW_DECISION,
+                ),
+            ),
+        ),
+        {key: 1000.0},
+        {},
+        None,
+    )
+    yield (
+        "matching_rejection",
+        case("matching_rejection", expect_error="new_credit"),
+        {},
+        {},
+        ValueError("no new_credit here"),
+    )
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    from policyengine.tax_benefit_models.uk import budget_reform_contract as contract
+
+    rows = scenario_rows(contract, contract.CASES)
+    with open(sys.argv[1], "w") as handle:
+        json.dump(rows, handle, sort_keys=True)
+        handle.write("\n")
+    print(len(rows), "rows")