diff --git a/changelog.d/368.md b/changelog.d/368.md new file mode 100644 index 000000000..3d6318809 --- /dev/null +++ b/changelog.d/368.md @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +- Set Marriage Allowance take-up rate to 0.5 (HMRC outturn ~2.1m claimants of ~4.2m eligible couples) instead of the placeholder 1.0, so microsimulation no longer overstates Marriage Allowance cost by ~£500m/year. diff --git a/policyengine_uk_data/parameters/take_up/marriage_allowance.yaml b/policyengine_uk_data/parameters/take_up/marriage_allowance.yaml index ff528bba7..603c4b4bd 100644 --- a/policyengine_uk_data/parameters/take_up/marriage_allowance.yaml +++ b/policyengine_uk_data/parameters/take_up/marriage_allowance.yaml @@ -1,6 +1,9 @@ -description: Percentage of eligible couples who claim Marriage Allowance. +description: Share of eligible couples who claim Marriage Allowance. HMRC outturn shows ~2.1m claimants vs ~4.2m eligible (~50% take-up). Read by `datasets/frs.py` to populate `would_claim_marriage_allowance` stochastically per person. metadata: unit: /1 label: Marriage Allowance take-up rate + reference: + - title: House of Commons Library — Income tax allowances for married couples (SN00870) + href: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn00870/ values: - 2000-01-01: 1 + 2000-01-01: 0.5